Archive for July, 2007

I Don’t Think We Are Going To Make It

Saturday, July 14th, 2007

– Just just watched a sobering video.   I have to confess, it didn’t sober me much because I already see things through the same lens the video presents.   And that is that even with all we are doing and even with all the folks who are waking up to the predicament we are in, it isn’t going to be enough and, in essence, we are going to go over the climate change civilization breakdown falls.  

– But, watch the video and make your own judgements.

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To the video by John Doerr, a very rich venture capitalist and a very smart fellow:

Ten Politically Incorrect Truths About Human Nature

Saturday, July 14th, 2007

– I really eat this stuff up. The more it surprises us and the more counter intuitive it seems, the more we need to own it, I think.

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Why most suicide bombers are Muslim, beautiful people have more daughters, humans are naturally polygamous, sexual harassment isn’t sexist, and blonds are more attractive.

On to the article, enjoy!

“International Humiliation” on Food Safety May Be in China’s Best Interest

Friday, July 13th, 2007

– the author of the following, Wang Feng, is a Beijing-based journalist.

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I awoke this morning to the headline in the Chinese newspapers: “China bans diethylene glycol in toothpaste.” My first reaction: Finally, the bureaucrats have given in to international pressure. It seems China can use all the international humiliation it can get.

Diethylene glycol, a toxic industrial solvent, is often used in China to replace the similar but more expensive glycerine, a harmless food additive. Chinese-made toothpaste containing diethylene glycol has been discovered and recalled all over the world. But until this morning, Chinese officials had insisted that a small amount of diethylene glycol in toothpaste was harmless to the human body. Never mind that a Chinese shipment of it was blamed for the deaths of over 100 Panamanians after a drug maker there put it into a cough syrup, believing it was glycerine. Chinese officials maintained that it was a safe additive in toothpaste even in the very statement that later banned such a use: “There is no known case of direct human poisoning by toothpaste with diethylene glycol,” the statement said. Yeah, right. Pardon me if I would still rather do without it in mine.

I am happy with the outcome now – that is, if China can really enforce this ban effectively. Good luck with that. Our government has, under mounting U.S. pressure, vowed more than a few times to root out pirated DVDs of Hollywood blockbusters. But guess how much I paid for a copy of “Spiderman III” at my neighborhood store?

The toothpaste saga is a textbook case of a public health and food safety crisis that wouldn’t have even raised eyebrows inside China, much less been addressed and resolved on a national level, if it hadn’t escalated into an international scandal. And the toothpaste issue is a relatively minor case in a string of serious crises that have continuously tarnished the “Made in China” label. Among those are the recent American pet food scare and the Panamanian cough syrup deaths (although I’ve never quite figured out why the deaths of 17 U.S. cats got so much more worldwide news coverage than the deaths of more than 100 Panamanians.)

Even when domestic scandals do break, they aren’t usually handled in a way that instills public confidence. When a fake medicine killed dozens of patients in China a year ago, it triggered a national outcry and a subsequent government investigation. In the end, officials announced only that they had fined the factory, and suspended its license “pending further inspection and improvement.” The public was told nothing else — why the Chinese FDA had approved the drug in the first place, or why regulators hadn’t found the problem until the patients were dying in agony.

The final revelation came earlier this year when Zheng Xiaoyu, then head of the Chinese FDA, was sacked, investigated for corruption and swiftly sentenced to death. He lost his appeal six weeks later and was executed this past Monday. In the media storm surrounding Zheng’s downfall, we learned that the man had almost single-handedly approved tens of thousands of drug licenses without following due procedure, pocketing millions in bribes from pharmaceutical firms. His corrupt administration was also blamed for some of the international crises, including the Panamanian poisoning case. Zheng’s execution was no surprise to observers. Many believe he was made into a scapegoat, a convenient target for focusing public wrath.

So, transparency at last? Not according to Zheng’s lawyers. They tried hard to spare his life, citing the amount of money involved (much less in comparison to many other convicted corrupt officials sentenced only to life in prison), and his cooperation with investigators. But Zheng’s trial was also one of the most secretive and least publicized in recent years. The government never released the details of its case against him, and no one knew which companies had bribed him until his lawyers defied a government gag order and posted court documents on the Internet. They did so in a desperate protest against the shroud of secrecy under which the case was handled.

More…

UN issues desertification warning

Thursday, July 12th, 2007

Tens of millions of people could be driven from their homes by encroaching deserts, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia, a report says.

The study by the United Nations University suggests climate change is making desertification “the greatest environmental challenge of our times”.

If action is not taken, the report warns that some 50 million people could be displaced within the next 10 years.

The study was produced by more than 200 experts from 25 countries.

This report does not pull any punches, says BBC environment reporter Matt McGrath.

One third of the Earth’s population – home to about two billion people – are potential victims of its creeping effect, it says.

“Desertification has emerged as an environmental crisis of global proportions, currently affecting an estimated 100 to 200 million people, and threatening the lives and livelihoods of a much larger number,” the study said.

The overexploitation of land and unsustainable irrigation practices are making matters worse, while climate change is also a major factor degrading the soil, it says.

People displaced by desertification put new strains on natural resources and on other societies nearby and threaten international instability, the study adds.

“There is a chain reaction. It leads to social turmoil,” said Zafaar Adeel, the study’s lead author and head of the UN University’s International Network on Water, Environment and Health.

The largest area affected was probably sub-Saharan Africa, where people are moving to northern Africa or to Europe, while the second area is the former Soviet republics in central Asia, he added.

More…

To the full PDF version of the UN report:

It’s not the sun, folks

Thursday, July 12th, 2007

– One of the recent favorite hobby horses of the folks who oppose the idea that mankind’s activities are causing global climate change has been the notion that variations in the sun’s output are behind the changes we are seeing. They come up with an alternative like this periodically and run with it until the accumulated evidence undermines it too badly to continue. Then they switch to another and run off in a different direction.

– Here’s an academic paper from the Proceedings of The Royal Society which states clearly that if anything, the sun’s influence in recent years should have cooled the climate. Next hobby horse, anyone?

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Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature

Abstract:

There is considerable evidence for solar influence on the Earth’s pre-industrial climate and the Sun may well have been a factor in post-industrial climate change in the first half of the last century. Here we show that over the past 20 years, all the trends in the Sun that could have had an influence on the Earth’s climate have been in the opposite direction to that required to explain the observed rise in global mean temperatures.

To the main paper:

DIRTY LITTLE SECRET

Wednesday, July 11th, 2007

– I’ve got a friend who has strong doubts about the gathering scientific consensus around Global Climate Change. We’ve debated the issue to a stand-still and decided to let it sit since we agree on so many other aspects of the Perfect Storm Hypothesis.

– But, I’ve heard many of his concerns loud and clear about the reliability of the science behind the ‘consensus’ on Global Climate Change – so it gives me the creeps to publish this little piece. It’s like putting a sharp knife in his hand. And, frankly, what the article has to say is worrisome.

– But, having said that, this article and others like it should become the impetus to make science and the scientific process better rather than the revelations that tear it down. because, after all, science is the best tool we have in the box – bar none.

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Are most published research findings actually false? The case for reform.

In a 2005 article in the Journal of the American Medical Association, epidemiologist John Ioannidis showed that among the 45 most highly cited clinical research findings of the past 15 years, 99 percent of molecular research had subsequently been refuted. Epidemiology findings had been contradicted in four-fifths of the cases he looked at, and the usually robust outcomes of clinical trials had a refutation rate of one in four.

The revelations struck a chord with the scientific community at large: A recent essay by Ioannidis simply entitled “Why most published research findings are false” has been downloaded more than 100,000 times; the Boston Globe called it “an instant cult classic.” Now in a Möbius-strip-like twist, there is a growing body of research that is investigating, analyzing, and suggesting causes and solutions for faulty research.

Two papers published this spring in the open-access journal PLoS Medicine by Benjamin Djulbegovic from the University of South Florida and Ramal Moonesinghe from the CDC have delved into the issues raised by Ioannidis and suggested possible ways to mitigate this apparent failure of scientific enterprise. One of the suggestions is to ensure that experimental results are independently replicable. “More often than not, genuine replication is not done, and what we end up with in the literature is corroboration or indirect supporting evidence,” says Moonesinghe.

More…

Crime and Pusnishment in Beijing

Tuesday, July 10th, 2007

Grim and stern as an old friend would say. The People’s Daily online just carried a story announcing that Zheng Xiaoyu, former director of China’s State Food and Drug Administration (see here for story on his crimes) ), was executed this morning. I thought Zheng’s appeal of the death sentence handed down on May 29th was still pending but the story also noted that it had been rejected on June 22nd. I guess that it still seemed likely he would receive some sort of last minute reprieve, given how senior he was and the fact that his deputy was just given a suspended death sentence, which usually means effective life imprisonment. I don’t know why I was even a little surprised, though. As we observed earlier, Zheng’s timing was awful if he was hoping for a pardon. With the current international hullabaloo about safety regulation in China there was no way he was going to be let off the hook. Will his execution make a difference? Hard to say. Certainly it’s got to have some impact in the short term, but memories fade and the allure of stacks of those crisp, roseblush 100 renminbi bills is strong.

More…

Now it’s Fake Water

Tuesday, July 10th, 2007

– Before China learns that there has to be a resonable balance between profits and people, a lot of bad stuff is going to happen.

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This morning, I heard the news that half of Beijing’s bottled water is counterfeit. I was horrified. It seems that illegal factories fill the used plastic bottles from the tap or with perfunctorily filtered water. The bottle tops and tape that they use to seal the bottle look identical to the genuine ones. The bottles aren’t sterilized and the number of mold fungi and e. coli bacteria that have been found in such water can easily make drinkers sick. An industry report quoted by Beijing Times calculates that more than 100 million bottles of such water were sold last year. The profit derived from these illegal sales exceeded 1 billion RMB, or about $12 million.

As a Chinese, I am used to reading about dangerous fakes. But this case really enraged me. This is water that many of us drink every day, after all. And the whole reason people pay extra for bottled water is for the quality—and safety. The Beijing Times did a story a couple of days ago that revealed the illegal business has been going on for five years. One unlicensed water bottler told the newspaper: “I filter the tap water before filling the bottle because I am a moral person and I don’t want to get people sick.”

More…

070710 – Tuesday – day off

Tuesday, July 10th, 2007

Yesterday, after an intense day at work getting our irrigation system sorted out (again), we took off and met our friends LA & Gillian in Kent for a ride on the Spirit of Washington Dinner Train.

For three and a half hours we rode from the south end of Seattle’s east side to the north and then back again and were served an excellent dinner. We were in an American icon, a dome car, the Mt. Rainier, which was made in 1952 and carried passengers between Washington D.C. and Florida until 1973.

The Spirit of WashingtonYours truly with Big RedMt. Rainier Dome Car

Sharon, my wife, and myselfOur friends, LA & GillianDessert with a beautiful Seattle twilight

The ride was over at 9:30 PM and the timing was good because I was scheduled for my annual physical this morning at 8:30 AM and I was suppose to fast last night after 10PM. After that big dinner on the train, I was well prepared to fast <smile>.

The physical went well this morning. I’ve had the same doctor for over 15 years since we first moved up to Washington from Southern California and he and I always find a lot of interesting stuff to talk about. But today, a lot of what we talked about were health issues – mine. I’ll be 60 in August and that’s a fact that amazes me. I sure don’t feel old in any significant way.

But, there have been a few glictches this last year with me. Last December, while running in New Zealand, I tore a cartiliage in my right knee. About the same time I hurt my knee, I noticed some swelling in my lower legs in the evenings when I took my socks off. These two situations collided in April when I had an arthroscopy procedure to repair the damage to my knee. The surgery went fine but the recovery was complicated by an excess amount of swelling around the knee.

Since then, the knee has healed well and now I joke that I know it is fully recovered because both knees hurt the same when I do stairs or squats.

But, investigating the lower leg swelling has been a longer adventure. The bottom line is that they’ve done all the tests they have and no one knows. The heart’s 100%, the kidneys are the same, the blood work all looks good and the valves in my veins that are suppose to prevent reverse flow as the blood pumps back up from my feet towards my heart are working correctly. So, nothing’s wrong – and yet the legs are always a bit swollen at the end of the day. ‘Idiopathic‘, my doctor called it. That means ‘we don’t know what it is but we have a big word to describe it.’

Ah well, if that’s the biggest thing I have to complain about, I’m going to keep quiet.

After I came home and told Sharon about my physical, we decided to (1) close the nursery tomorrow because the weather predictions here are for 100 F (records are going to fall) and (2) we decided to go for a motorcycle ride this afternoon just for fun since it was our normal day off and it’s pretty hot out now as well (though not as hot as tomorrow’s suppose to be).

And it was fun. We rode to from Monroe to Lynnwood and went to a business called “Bent Bike” where they have a warehouse full of used motorcycle parts. We bought some new face shields and looked at saddle bags but none, unfortunately, fit my bike.

Then we rode on up Highway 99 as far as Everett and cut over on Highway 2 to Snohomish where we stopped and got scallops, chips and cokes at a place with ourside seating in the shade. Yum.

That was followed by a brief stop to get some Rainier Cherries from a roadside stand (they are in season here and delicious!) and then it was off for home to check on the irrigation and get into our air-conditioned house.

All and all, a nice two days.

Net Neutrality is now Red Hot

Sunday, July 8th, 2007

Net Neutrality is now Red Hot

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has decided to abandon net neutrality and allow telecoms companies to charge websites for access.

The FTC said in a report that, despite popular support for net neutrality, it was minded to let the market sort out the issue.

This means that the organisation will not stand in the way of companies using differential pricing to make sure that some websites can be viewed more quickly than others. The report also counsels against net neutrality legislation.

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Truth via humor

– Most of the news we get is filtered. A small list of big corporate entities own the majority of America’s major news outlets. We’re talking radio, television and newspapers here. Sadly, much of the American public is unaware that their news comes predigested for them by corporations which have vested interest in spinning the news to benefit themselves.

– And why shouldn’t they? Corporations are, after all, entities created and designed to seek profit for themselves and their stockholders above all else. So, for example, if academic papers began to appear discussing how corporate America is picking and choosing the news they deliver to you to benefit themselves, do you think that this same big media would report the story to us as news so we can be better informed citizens?

– People with lots of money and vested interests are always trying to spin the news to influence you and manipulate your perceptions.

– Look at what the paint industry did all through the 40’s and 50’s trying to convince the American public that the lead in their paints wasn’t harmful to people.

– Look at all the lies the tobacco industry broadcast for decades claiming that cigarette smoke wasn’t harmful to people.

– Look at what Exxon and other oil and coal companies are doing today trying to sow confusion and doubt in the public’s mind as to the causes of global climate change.

– Make no mistake about it. Big corporations have big vested interests and they will do whatever they need to to protect their markets and their profits.

– And the news media is extremely important in all of this because the media is the best tool to leverage to public’s perceptions and beliefs. Everyone who’s got big money on the table has realized how central controlling the news media is.

– Now, flip the situation over and look at how the Internet and all of the alternative news that gets reported there looks to the big corporate interests. Exxon would like to convince us that there is no particular relationship between the amount of greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide, we generate when using their products and global climate change. Do you think they appreciate the fact that alternative news sources, such as those widely available on the Internet, are diluting their efforts to shape our perceptions and opinions about this important issue? If enough people read these alternative news sources, a political ground swell might well result and laws could get passed that would badly damage Exxon’s bottom line. Wahdayaa think? That they’re happy that Americans have alternative news and are therefore better informed citizens – or are they trying to find ways to lessen the danger to their bottom line that alternative news represents?

– Well folks, that brings us to Net Neutrality and why it’s an issue you should care about very deeply. Advocates of retaining Net Neutrality warn that broadband providers will use their power over the “last mile” to block applications they do not favor, and also to discriminate between content providers (i.e. websites, services, protocols), particularly competitors.

– Now, if you go out and read widely about Net Neutrality, you are going to see a lot of opinions – pro and con. It can be a confusing issue within which you can get lost in all the terminology and arguments.

But, cling to this idea:

Once big corporate interests get the right to begin to differentially charge us according to what the content is, it will only be a matter of time before new sources which those corporate powers don’t like will find themselves being pushed further and further towards the edge of the Internet stage.

– To those who want to control the information you receive for their own benefit, there is no bigger source of uncontrolled information than the Internet. If they can begin to drive wedges into it, they certainly will. And every time they can drive those wedges a bit further, bettering their position and diminishing their opponent’s – they will.

– It is extremely fortunate for all of us that the Internet came along just about the same time in history that corporate consolidations essentially took the ‘freedom’ out of America’s Free Press.

– I know some of you will have strong doubts as to whether this issue and my concerns about it are overblown. To those of you that have such doubts, I offer you this link. Follow it and read it and if you still doubt, then so be it.

– And to those if you that do believe that Net Neutrality is a burning issue, follow

 

➡ this link ➡

to a site which has suggestions as to what you can do, right now, to speak your piece on this before freedom of information on the Internet is cut right from under our feet.

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– thx to Kevin at The Cryptogon for alerting me to this story about the FTC’s decision.