Archive for 2007

Arctic Melting Leaves Countries Sparring

Wednesday, September 19th, 2007

– Reach out and place your finger on the world’s pulse. It’s not good, what you’ll find there. The pulse is rapid and unstable. Systemic instability is spreading.

– So, how far down this road are we? Well, consider, as my friend John pointed out, that this entire article about the growing tension in the Arctic over seabed resources doesn’t even mention, other than tangentially, why the seabed is opening up for exploitation. Global warming and its consequences are becoming such an accepted part of our world that an entire article like this can be written without more than a passing mention of the on going global climate crises.

– Given that this is so, can we really still hope that mankind is going to act to deal with climate change? I don’t think so. I think we’re all going to have to grin and bear the coming chaos because, as a species, we can’t muster the grit it would take to deal with it. And the deep irony is that the consequences of not dealing with it will be far worse than the consequences of dealing with it would be.  We are indeed a short-sighted species.

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Canada, Russia, Greenland Debate Ownership of Northwest Passage, Oil Fields

The reports from the world’s scientists depict the Arctic sea ice cap now shrunk to its smallest size in history — the great melting uncovering vast stretches of the Arctic Ocean and opening up a northwest shipping lane mariners have been dreaming about since Christopher Columbus discovered America.

The reports from the world’s diplomats and military planners say there’s a new theater of war — at least cold war — where tensions are heating up because the world is.

Watch a video of Bill Blakemore’s tour of the ice wonders of Greenland here.

In the Arctic these days, there are Danish commando dog-sled patrols guarding northern Greenland.

While U.S. icebreakers are mapping the seabed, Russian subs are planting their flag on the same seabed.

And the Canadian navy is expanding its Arctic patrols, running new military exercises, ordering six new military patrol ships, while the Canadian government is building up two Arctic military bases.

“As there was in the American West in the 1800s, there’s a great land grab going on, but most of the land is at the bottom of the seafloor,” Brookings Institution scholar William Antholis said.

Under that seafloor lie giant, but largely unexplored, oil and gas fields. Over it are new, warm-water fisheries, all now accessible as ice melts away.

More…

– research thx to John P.

James Kunstler – laser beam

Monday, September 17th, 2007

I’m busier than a one-armed paper hanger these days and hardly have time to sit down at the computer but I’ve always got time to read what James Kunstler (Author of The Long Emergency) has to say.  The man is a laser beam.   His current piece ➡ on what’s going on here in America is well worth a read.

A most excellent clock!

Thursday, September 13th, 2007

What time is it?

The clock can be found here:

Thx to David D. for the research

Brains of liberals, conservatives may work differently, study finds

Wednesday, September 12th, 2007

By Chicago Tribune and Los Angeles Times

CHICAGO — The differences between liberals and conservatives may run deeper than how they feel about welfare reform or the progress of the Iraq war: Researchers reported Sunday that their brains may actually work differently.

Oh yeah…I think we knew this…

In a study likely to raise the hackles of some conservatives, scientists at New York University and the University of California, Los Angeles, found that a specific region of the brain’s cortex is more sensitive in people who consider themselves liberals than in self-declared conservatives.

The brain region in question helps people shift gears when their usual response would be inappropriate, supporting the notion that liberals are more flexible in their thinking.

“Say you drive home from work the same way every day, but one day there’s a detour and you need to override your autopilot,” said NYU psychologist David Amodio. “Most people function just fine. But there’s a little variability in how sensitive people are to the cue that they need to change their current course.”

The work, to be reported today in the journal Nature Neuroscience, grew out of decades of previous research suggesting that political orientation is linked to certain personality traits or styles of thinking. A review of that research published in 2003 found that conservatives tend to be more rigid and closed-minded, less tolerant of ambiguity and less open to new experiences. Some of the traits associated with conservatives in that review were decidedly unflattering, including fear, aggression and tolerance of inequality. That evoked outrage from conservative pundits.

The latest study showed “there are two cognitive styles — a liberal style and a conservative style,” said UCLA neurologist Dr. Marco Iacoboni, who was not connected with the latest research.

Linda Skitka, a professor of psychology at the University of Illinois at Chicago, said it’s possible the liberals in the recent study appeared more flexible than the conservatives because the population was skewed.

“We’re more likely to find extreme conservatives in the U.S. than extreme liberals,” she said.

More…

Research thanks to: Van

Radio Frequencies Help Burn Salt Water

Wednesday, September 12th, 2007

What’s really happening here…

This story is all over the Internet today. , , , and etc.

And most of what I see are organizations and blogs both large and small just simply repeating the original story without commentary. It’s kind of sad, really, that hope springs so eternally on the subject of getting something for nothing. And sad as well that people in general are so poorly educated about the basic laws of nature.

So in this story, first they use radio waves to break the bonds between Hydrogen and Oxygen in water. And then they light the Hydrogen as it comes out and it burns, recombining with Oxygen and releasing some heat.

Given the basic laws of physics, breaking the Hydrogen-Oxygen bonds will take more energy that burning the resulting Hydrogen will produce. So, there’s not much to get excited about here, really. We currently use electricity to break the Oxygen-Hydrogen bonds when we need free Hydrogen. Using radio waves is just an alternative way to apply sufficient energy to the bonds to break them.

Anytime you do full-cycle energy accounting like I’ve just done here and it takes more energy to run the cycle than you get out of it, it is a no-win situation

I imagine an article will appear on the snopes site in a day or so explaing in that this is, essentially, just another urban rumor.

Letters passing in the night as Rome burns

Tuesday, September 11th, 2007

M.,

Thanks for your input. I value your intelligence and your comments a lot.

I think you’ve reminded me about “Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.” concept again from a sense of compassion because you view me as hoping that what I say will change the world. And what you see is me banging my head against a wall which will never move because I don’t understand how the world actually works.

I appreciate your friendship and your compassion (if that’s what it is that motivates you to speak). But, I doubt you understand my motivations as well as you imagine. And that’s not meant to be a dig or a rebuff. I would love for you or anyone I consider to be a friend to understand me better so that when we talk or write, we are working within the same framework of understandings.

I’m not sure where the deep roots of my motivation differ from what you imagine them to be. I suppose some of it may be spiritual as I believe that spiritual motivations are largely anathema to you. And I believe there are secular material reasons as well to believe that the world can be a better place and to believe that action in aid of a better world is not wasted.

The world does make progress – slow and inefficient as it is. We’ve moved from various forms of totalitarianism to democracies, we’ve moved from dog-eat-dog societies to ones with social welfare protection nets. Not everywhere and not everyone – but these things are happening. We can, in many societies, now read what ever books we want to even if they are about other political systems or alternative religious beliefs. Doing that was difficult, if not impossible, not too long ago. We can, in many societies, rely on the rule-of-law to feel that our lands and possessions are relatively safe from confiscation by those more powerful than ourselves.

So, complete cynicism about mankind’s prospects and potentials doesn’t appeal to me. I can see that we can become better people because we’ve been, in fits and starts, becoming better people.

That’s what I might call an on-the-ground empirical judgment. But I have also motivations that arise from spiritual wellsprings.

From this I get that working for a better world should not be contingent on getting results. I get that speaking your highest truth is of value in and of itself. I also understand, that to those who believe there is no meaning or purpose to the world and who are deeply cynical of it, such actions, without obvious results, are just a form of pissing into the wind.

But, all that energy goes somewhere. If no one had been willing to speak up in favor of women’s rights or the abolition of slavery unless he or she was certain of success, then I doubt that women would have ever received the vote or the slaves been freed. But many people spoke up and worked in obscurity with nothing to show for their efforts but rejection and ridicule for decades – even centuries. But, eventually, their aggregate efforts begin to yield results. People resist change just as the rock resists the river – but eventually, if the river flows long enough, the rock will yield.

The things I write about appeal to only a small fringe. The vast vast majority don’t care and would avoid writings like mine on sight. And of the few who do read them, many are already ‘in the choir’ as they say and need no more convincing. But there are the very few who come by at that critical point in their thinking where they are open to new ideas and something I say may, just may, cause their next insight to click into place.

You might say, ‘Is that small return on investment worth all the effort and angst?” Well, it doesn’t matter because it is not a return on investment motivated action. It is a ‘it-is-right-in-and-of-itself’ action and it needs no external justification in my subjective world.

So, to summarize: Much of what I do is just because I think it is the right thing to do. But, I also act because I can see that mankind is capable of improving – because we have been improving.

The deep irony, as I am sure you are aware, is that even while I do these idealistic things, the empirical scientist in me is making hard predictive judgments about how mankind’s future is likely to turn out in the near term (say the next 20 to 100 years) – and I’m judging those probabilities as very bad indeed.

That’s why I’m focused on New Zealand – and I think I’ve discussed this with you before. I still have a very deep motivation to work for a better world but I’m enough of a physical pragmatist to realize that it is time to get out of harm’s way.

So, I am not unhappily beating myself to death for lost causes. And even if the world does goes to ruin, and I strongly suspect it will, I will still not think my efforts were wasted. Spiritually, I don’t think doing the right thing is ever wasted – though we may not see the results.

The advocates of Vedanta, a form of Hinduism, say that one should do their absolute best in all that they do and then be completely indifferent with regard to how the results of their actions turn out.

The Buddhists say that the source of all of our unhappiness is that we want things to be different than as they are. Many people mistake that for meaning that we cannot and should not work for improvement. But we can work to make things better and also accept how they are with equanimity – without it being a conflict. It is hard idea for the logical mind to accept but the spiritual heart grasps it well.

I’m a happy and lucky guy. I’ve got a good business and great wife and two fine strong sons. My health and intelligence are good. I live in one of the bests places in the world at an amazing time in the world’s history. I have many blessings.

If I didn’t believe that life had any meaning or purpose, I could work to see how many material toys I could gather around me in a pile before I died to help me cope with the emptiness of it all.

But I do believe it has purpose and meaning even if I cannot understand much about them. I can see that life advances and that mankind has been advancing. I think those advances have something to do with Spirit’s purposes here and so I want to put my shoulder against that self-same wheel that advances life, raises awareness and treasures emerging complexity on this planet and I want to push. I have no illusions that I’m going to be the one to put the problems right. But I do believe I’m moving in the right direction and that’s enough, in and of itself.

You said, “The definition of Stupid is: Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.”

It’s true that I would like a different result and I think it is inherently right and fulfilling to work for a different result – but I am not expecting one and my happiness is not dependent upon one. Perhaps that’s the part you don’t get – perhaps you always see my actions as part of some return-on-investment strategy.

Dennis
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Hello Dennis,

I enjoy reading your web-site. I must admit, that I am constantly amazed that you get so disappointed at the nature of humans. For example, in your latest post you highlight:

“We agree to work to achieve a common understanding on a long-term aspirational global emissions reduction goal to pave the way for an effective post-2012 international arrangement.”

How long will it take for you to get it through your thick noggin that this is the way it is?????

Do you know that I work for a consensus organization? If this is a new term for you, it means all decisions have to be agreed by everybody unanimously. That which you quote as frustrating, is business as usual in large GOs and NGOs (Governement and Non-Government Organisations).

These people do not do things for the good of humanity! They do it for the good (survival) of the self. The self can be more than the individual, maybe the family or the organisation. But it is primarily self survival. We could do a treatise on this, but I think you get my meaning.

Let me remind you on something I told you some time back: The definition of Stupid is: Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.

M.

Just laugh – because it hurts so much

Sunday, September 9th, 2007

I haven’t been blogging much of late. There’s dozens of links on my desktop to news stories I’ve pulled from the passing rivers of data but life’s been very busy lately and I’ve grown a bit dissatisfied with just reposting links to stories with just a dash of commentary added. I’ve got stuff of my own to say and I’d rather wait until I can find the hours it takes to say it.

But, in spite of all of that, I saw a piece today over on Only in it for the Gold that I just had to pick up on. Michael entitled his piece “Agreeing to work to agree to work to…” I have to say I prefer the title I’ve placed above.

If you have any doubts at all about how little we’re are getting done that is really meaningful in the face of the dire future changes that await us globally, just read this quote and reflect that this was the summary of the world’s most recent effort (the APEC meeting) to come to grips with our problems – and then weep at the ineptitude of it all.

We agree to work to achieve a common understanding on a long-term aspirational global emissions reduction goal to pave the way for an effective post-2012 international arrangement.

Why are poor countries poor?

Saturday, September 8th, 2007

Fascinating ideas in this piece. Definitely the subject for a long think and a discussion. I’ve been reading this blog and a couple of others of late in an effort to better keep up with and understand what’s going on financially in the world today. And mostly what I read falls into the category of “There are big and troublesome patterns running out there but you have to stand on a high place to see them“.

Follow this link to read the article I’m reacting to. It’s worth the click-through if for nothing else than just the graphics.

– thx to bruce s. for suggesting this site and others to me.

R.I.P. – Global Gag Rule

Friday, September 7th, 2007

Truth and justice for all

I received an E-mail today from the Population Connection people saying:

Yesterday, we won a major victory in the US Senate. In a sharp rebuke to the Bush administration, the Senate overwhelmingly passed an amendment offered by Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) to overturn the dangerous and hypocritical Global Gag Rule. The strong margin of victory, 53-41, would have been even larger, but because the vote occurred late in the day, several senators were unable to be present. Click here to see how your Senators voted.

The Global Gag Rule, imposed by President Bush on his second day in office, denies US funding to any foreign organization which uses its own money to provide legal abortion, offer counseling or referral for legal abortion, or engage in any political advocacy in support of legal abortion. Supporters of the policy say that it prevents abortions, but they can offer no evidence at all in support of their claim. There is plenty of evidence, however, that the gag rule hurts women and their families by decreasing access to safe and effective family planning services.

The Boxer Amendment is a tremendous step forward, but there is still a long way to go. The House version of the bill contains a much weaker provision, and even that drew a veto threat from the Bush White House. We will be watching closely as the legislation moves ahead, and we will keep you informed of its progress.

One of the major themes in my discussion of the coming Perfect Storm events is the contribution that women’s dis-empowerment makes to the overall problem.

Here, with Bush’s Gag Rule, we’ve had the world’s most powerful nation actively preventing women from knowing about and using some of their best options with respect to control birth. And all of this to serve an ideological viewpoint.

Thank goodness the composition of the Senate has changed so that we can begin to make better more science-informed decisions as a nation again.   Let’s hope the House does as well.

070905 – Wednesday – Brain surgery through a straw

Wednesday, September 5th, 2007

The alert reader of this blog may have noticed that my wife is on the other side of the planet in New Zealand. Perhaps I’ve mentioned this?

She gone down for a month to do some redecorating in our apartment there and, I hope, to have a good look around Christchurch. Last February, when I left there and returned to the US, I tore down the computer setup I had there and packed it all away in the closet (I’m not obsessive – just neat).

Well, I was perhaps too neat in retrospect because at the time it ddn’t occur to me that the next person to probably grace our digs in Christchurch would be my wife. My wife who would want nice things – like Internet connectivity and E-mail – and who is distinctly not a techo-weenie.

Soooooooooo … it’s been interesting for the last three days – as we’ve tried to get her setup.

The current situation…

Ok, sweetie, can you find a network cable?

Jesus, Gally, there’s an entire bag of cables here. How do you expect me to know which damn one is a network cable?

Or

You have to plug a NZ to US adapter into the NZ wall socket and then plug the US power strip into that. That’ll give us US sockets with NZ 250 VAC 50 Hz power. We can then plug some of our US gear that takes either voltage into it without needing more plug adapters but for some of the other stuff that absolutely requires 120 VAC, we’re going to have to use a power converter to change the NZ 250 VAC to US 120 VAC (still at 50 Hz), see?

All this is going on as the rat’s nest of wires on top of and under the desk is growing under my wife’s hands using my remote directions and as I am struggling to visualize it all from the other side of the planet.

my life, mate…

I know that every direction I give may be misunderstood so it’s an endless game of question and answer sequences as I try to make sure that what I think just happened on the other end of the phone/world, really did happen.

and more…

Oh sure, yeah I see, Gally! Why did you tear all of this down before you left – what were you thinking? I think we’re going to burn the place down with all these wires.

And this last followed by some cussing.

But, yesterday, with the help of a nice lady from New Zealand Telecom who I talked to from here in the US and who then called Sharon and guided her through the last steps, we established Internet connectivity! I can ping Sharon’s laptop from here and she can see Google and the rest of the world electronic.

Now, guiding a non-technical someone through technical matters over the phone is a tough slog and I didn’t want to do a lot more of it. I still have hopes that our marriage will continue to be a fine one and I don’t want to press my luck.

So, my next goal was and is to establish remote control over her system from here so I can go into it from here and set up all the nice-to-have techno-weenie tools like E-mail and file transfer facilities.

As part of this quest, I had to request (almost beg) New Zealand Telecom to open up port 25 for her system so that she could access E-mail servers outside of Telecom’s network. They frown on this because it opens them up for spam originators within their network.

I plead, “Please turn it on, I promise she is not going to Spam New Zealand.

Response, “Ah, do you have Firewall software?”

Me, “Yes, we have Zone Alarm.

Next question, “And do you have anti-virus software?

And I say, “Yes, it’s part of the Zone Alarm package.

Reluctantly, “Well, OK, we’ll submit a request to open Port 25.

Whew, audible relief from me. Apparently, most folks in New Zealand, who are with Telecom, have no idea that there even are E-mail servers on the planet other than the ones Telecom offers with their Broadband package and within their network.

Well, the saga has it’s good points and its bad. Sharon got tired of waiting for me to figure out how to link her to her real E-mail here so she surprised me and jumped out onto the net and grabbed a Hotmail E-mail address. “Go, Girl!

Now she can complain about my cluelessness to her girlfriends via E-mail and telephone – so we are making progress.

That’s good because establishing remote control over her system from here has thus far been like trying to catch a pig slathered in crisco. I can ping her system but using the ShieldUp tests at www.grc.com, I cannot see that ANY of her ports are open and visible. Telecom has her behind a tall wall through which nothing (so far) other than port 80 Internet traffic and pings are coming and going.

Techo-Rapunzel, you binary witch, let down your hair of 1024 or more accessible ports on this IP address“, I murmur through the wires. But thus far, Telecom’s chastity belt – ah, she’s a tough one.

I’ve bounced off with both Radmin and with XP’s Remote Assistance Utility. The DSL 502T ASDL Router she has there connecting her system to Telecom’s network and the Internet? I suspect that rascal has a little firewall hiding within it bouncing off all that I send towards it with muffled cries of, “Better luck next time, Mate.” and “Bugger off, eh!

My newest plan involves trying a program I found at www.logmein.com According to the hype, I can use it free for 30 days and it can establish control over a remote system by doing everything through port 80 – which we know is getting in and out.

Well, several of my other bright ideas have sat there smiling and patted the bed and told me how good it was going to be – but they didn’t work out either. We’ll see.

Just now, I’m waiting for Sharon to get home from a lunch with two of her new girl friends in Christchurch so I can ask her (cringe) to run one more (pretty-please) little installation program for me? I can only hope lunch didn’t involve too many Magaritas or Kiwi-Boom-Booms or whatever they have there. Or… maybe on the other hand, I should be hoping they did. Hard to say.

That’s it, folks. Ernie Pyle covered the tougher bits in WWII and I’m here doing the same in the world’s techno-trenches.

Signing off for now, bloodied but still unbeaten, I remain,

Your very teeny techno-weenie – Dennis