Archive for the ‘The Perfect Storm’ Category

Alps Glaciers Gone by 2050, Expert Says

Wednesday, January 24th, 2007

Glaciers are quickly disappearing from the Alps and will be all but gone by 2050, a climate expert said Monday. That’s 50 years earlier than a July 2006 study predicted.

The loss would change the supply of drinking and irrigation water, lead to more falling rocks, and cripple the European ski industry.

On average about 3 percent of Alpine glacial ice is lost each year, said Roland Psenner, a fresh water scientist at the University of Innsbruck in Austria. That corresponds to about 3.3 feet (1 meter) of ice thickness.

Ten percent was lost in the record-breaking heat of 2003. Seven percent was lost in 2006, Psenner said.

“If the melting goes on at this pace, glaciers will be gone by 2030 to 2050—except some high-altitude sites in the French, Swiss, and Italian Alps,” he wrote in an email to National Geographic News.

Psenner’s research was discussed Monday at an annual conference on the Alps in the Austrian mountain resort of Alpbach.

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Reanalysis Of Cigarettes Confirms Tobacco Companies Increased Addictive Nicotine 11 Percent

Sunday, January 21st, 2007

– A simple truth is that corporations are profit seeking entities whose behavior is driven by their need to satisfy their stock holders. They may talk compassion and social consciousness but, usually, it is just PR. In general, large corporations, especially multi-nationals, have one simple goal – profit. When they become as powerful as governments and/or when they operate within political systems which revere Capitalism and disdain Socialism, then they become dangerous to all of us.

– This story is especially chilling because the same folks who have been sacrificing people’s health for the sake of their tobacco profits have reportedly joined forces with the likes of Exxon-Mobil to continue to sow confusion about Global Climate Change so that the profits can continue to roll in unimpeded by long term considerations of what it is all going to mean to future generations.

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Science Daily  A reanalysis of nicotine yield from major brand name cigarettes sold in Massachusetts from 1997 to 2005 has confirmed that manufacturers have steadily increased the levels of this agent in cigarettes. This independent analysis, based on data submitted to the Massachusetts Department of Public Health (MDPH) by the manufacturers, found that increases in smoke nicotine yield per cigarette averaged 1.6 percent each year, or about 11 percent over a seven-year period (1998-2005). Nicotine is the primary addictive agent in cigarettes.

“Our findings call into serious question whether the tobacco industry has changed at all in its pursuit of addicting smokers since signing the Master Settlement Agreement of 1998 with the State Attorneys General. Our analysis shows that the companies have been subtly increasing the drug nicotine year by year in their cigarettes, without any warning to consumers, since the settlement. Scrutiny by the Attorneys General is imperative. Proposed federal legislation has been filed by Senator Edward Kennedy (D-Ma.) that would address this abuse and bring the tobacco industry under the rules that regulate other manufacturers of drugs.”

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Climate change: it’s coming our way …

Sunday, January 21st, 2007

Global warming will have a far more destructive and earlier impact than previously estimated.

A draft of the most authoritative report yet produced on climate change, the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, shows the frequency of devastating storms will increase dramatically.

Sea levels will rise over the century by about half a metre; snow will disappear from all but the highest mountains; deserts will spread; oceans will become acidic, leading to the destruction of coral reefs and atolls; and deadly heatwaves will become more prevalent.

The impact will be catastrophic, forcing hundreds of millions to flee their homelands, particularly in tropical, low-lying areas, while creating waves of immigrants whose movements will strain the economies of even the most affluent countries.

The really chilling thing about the report is that it is the work of several thousand climate experts with widely differing views on how greenhouse gases will have their effect. Some think they will have a major impact, others a lesser. Each paragraph was therefore argued over and scrutinised intensely. Only points that were considered indisputable survived.

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Huge storms sweep northern Europe

Friday, January 19th, 2007

Global Warming and Global Climate Change. People expect to be able to go and look at their thermometers and see a gradual creeping up of the indicator.  Well, I don’t think it is going to happen so neatly as that. 

– Weather events are systems and systems are a mix of stability and chaos.  The more complex the system, the the harder it is to untangle all the factors that feed into its states.  Weather is a very complex system and as we continue to pump more and more CO2 and Methane into the atmosphere, I expects the system will grow unstable at its current resting point and as it seeks toward a new equilibrium, it will exhibit instability. 

– Weather events will exhibit wilder and wilder swings as the system seeks to incorporate the greenhouse gases we’re adding. And  I believe this instability will continue so long as we keep changing the composition of the atmosphere.  And, beneath the surface fluctuations, the average temperatures will, indeed, creep up in most places.

– Here in New Zealand this summer, it has been unusually cool.   In fact, Wellington, the capital, experienced the coldest December on record in 2006.  In the Pacific Northwest of the US, where I normally live, they’ve had an absolutely dismal winter this year.  Record floods, huge wind storms and snow on the ground for  a week or more in an area that often sees winters without any snow.  The US’s mid-west is in the vise of a huge deep-freeze and a month or so back, New York City was having record-breaking tee-shirt weather one day and snow storms the very next day. Now we’re reading about a huge storm pounding Northern Europe. 

– Yes, I know weather is variable and we’ve seen all of this before.  It is the larger patterns I’m referring to here – the trends emerging from the noise.  Keep watching.

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At least 25 people have been killed as violent storms lashed northern Europe, causing travel chaos across the region.

Britain was the worst hit with nine people killed as rain and gusts of up to 99mph (159km/h) swept the country.

Hurricane-force winds battering Germany have claimed at least seven lives. The other deaths were reported in France, the Czech Republic and the Netherlands.

The severe weather has forced hundreds of flight, rail and ferry cancellations and prompted road and school closures.

Meteorologists at London’s Met Office said the winds reached “severe gale force” as they crossed Britain and were the highest recorded since January 1990.

They warned the weather system would intensify as it moved east across the continent – with Denmark, the Netherlands and Germany expected to be worst hit overnight.

Winds of almost 105mph (170km/h) were recorded late on Thursday in Germany, prompting the national rail company to suspend all its services, leaving passengers stranded.

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Radicals vs. moderates: British Muslims at crossroads

Friday, January 19th, 2007

DUBLIN, Ireland (CNN) — At a recent debate over the battle for Islamic ideals in England, a British-born Muslim stood before the crowd and said Prophet Mohammed’s message to nonbelievers is: “I come to slaughter all of you.”

“We are the Muslims,” said Omar Brooks, an extremist also known as Abu Izzadeen. “We drink the blood of the enemy, and we can face them anywhere. That is Islam and that is jihad.”

Anjem Choudary, the public face of Islamist extremism in Britain, added that Muslims have no choice but to take the fight to the West.

“What are Muslims supposed to do when they are being killed in the streets in Afghanistan and Baghdad and Palestine? Do they not have the same rights to defend themselves? In war, people die. People don’t make love; they kill each other,” he said. (Audio slide show: Preying on Britain’s young Muslims)

But in the same debate, held on the prestigious grounds of Dublin’s Trinity College in October, many people in the crowd objected.

“These people, ladies and gentleman, have a good look at them. They actually believe if you kill women and children, you will go to heaven,” said one young Muslim who waved his finger at the radicals.

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Fury at Australia cleric comments

Friday, January 19th, 2007

– Two stories out recently about radial statements being made by Muslim clerics point up a growing and critical problem. As we continue to fill the world, our cultures and religions are pressing against each other with ever more pressure. This is a volatile situation that grows ever more dangerous. Our cultures and religions need to be ever more tolerant of each other if we are to avoid disaster as we try to muddle our way through the coming historical bottlenecks.

– Stories, like the following, are clear calls for moderate Muslims to control the statements of their more radical brethren. Indeed, be it Muslim, Christian or any religion, I would advocate the same.

– To get the drift of why a story like this might incense Australians so badly, consider that they are 20 million and they are just south of Indonesia, which is the most populous Muslim country in the world – and a very poor one, besides. Consider a statement like the following: “Muslim Australians had more rights to the country than white Australians whose ancestors arrived as convicts.

– Below, is the first of the two stories. The next can be found in the next post here.

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The Australian government has condemned a Muslim cleric for making offensive comments in videotaped lectures.

Sheikh Feiz Mohammed, head of the Global Islamic Youth Centre in Sydney, urged children to become martyrs for Islam and mocked Jewish people as pigs.

Police are said to be investigating the tapes, which were exposed in a British TV documentary earlier this week.

Top Australian Islamic cleric Sheikh Hilali also sparked controversy, with remarks on women and white Australians.

Sheikh Feiz Mohammed, who has spent the past year living in Lebanon, talks on the controversial videotapes of his desire for children to be offered “as soldiers defending Islam”.

“Teach them this,” he says, “that there is nothing more beloved to me than wanting to die as a Muhajid.

“Put in their soft, tender heart the zeal of jihad and the love of martyrdom.”

He also ridicules Jewish people as pigs and makes snorting noises, saying they will go to hell.

His comments were shown on a British television documentary called Undercover Mosque, which says it found children selling Islamic tapes in a car park behind a UK mosque.

More… :arrow:

China shoots down a satellite

Friday, January 19th, 2007

– This is an interesting story because it shows that the geopolitical balance of power is shifting.  China, for some years now, has been pouring much of its trade surplus money into upgrading its military.  The US has largely ‘owned’ the high ground of space and that’s a potent factor in any potential future conflict.  China’s new-found ability to bring satellites down, shows that its ability as a first rate military power is growing and that the US advantage in space is eroding.  This blog makes no judgments of on the rightness or wrongness of these changes – indeed, there is none – change has always and will always happen.   But, large shifts of power in the world have seldom been accomplished smoothly and for those attuned to the Perfect Storm Hypothesis, these changes are food for thought.

– I’ve pulled stories on this from five different publications and they are all here: , , , and

– The text from below is from the BBC but I could have chosen any of the sources.   Altogether, they make for a thoughtful read. 

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Concern over China’s missile test (BBC News)

China is facing international criticism over a weapons test it reportedly carried out in space last week. Japan has expressed concern, as have the US and Australia.

It is thought that the Chinese used a ground-based medium-range ballistic missile to destroy a weather satellite that had been launched in 1999.

Correspondents say this is the first known satellite intercept test for more than 20 years. China’s foreign ministry refused to confirm or deny the report.

While the technology is not new, it does underline the growing capabilities of China’s armed forces, according to the BBC’s Dan Griffiths in Beijing.

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SCIENTISTS AND EVANGELICALS UNITE TO SAVE THE PLANET

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

This morning, scientific and evangelical leaders announced a collaborative effort to protect our environment from anthropogenic threats.

“We dare to imagine a world in which science and religion cooperate, minimizing our differences about how Creation got started to work together to reverse its degradation,” Rev. Richard Cizik, vice president for governmental affairs of the National Association of Evangelicals, said at the announcement in Washington, D.C.

The coalition released a statement signed by 28 prominent evangelicals and scientists—including biologist Edward O. Wilson and climatologist James Hansen—that calls for a “fundamental change in values, lifestyles, and public policies required to address these worsening problems before it is too late.” The coalition sent the statement, titled an “Urgent Call to Action,” to George W. Bush, Nancy Pelosi, congressional leaders, and national evangelical and scientific organizations.

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Protection for ‘weirdest’ species

Wednesday, January 17th, 2007

A conservation programme for some of the world’s most bizarre and unusual creatures has been launched by the Zoological Society of London (ZSL).

Species like the bumblebee bat and the pygmy hippopotamus will be protected under the Evolutionarily Distinct and Globally Endangered (Edge) project.

The scheme targets animals with unique evolutionary histories that are facing a real risk of extinction.

The ZSL says many of these species are ignored by existing conservation plans.

The Society defines Edge animals as having few close relatives, genetically distinct, and require immediate action to save them from extinction.

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Doomsday Clock Will Move Closer to Midnight

Monday, January 15th, 2007

WASHINGTON, DC, January 12, 2007 (ENS) – The minute hand of the Doomsday Clock will be moved closer to midnight on January 17, the first such change to the clock since February 2002. The Doomsday Clock has become a universally recognized indicator of the world’s vulnerability to nuclear weapons and other threats.

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Doomsday Clock

The move was announced today by the Board of Directors of the magazine “The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.”

It reflects growing concerns about what the board calls a “Second Nuclear Age” marked by grave threats, including nuclear ambitions in Iran and North Korea, unsecured nuclear materials in Russia and elsewhere, and the continuing “launch-ready” status of 2,000 of the 25,000 nuclear weapons held by the U.S. and Russia.

The board also cited “escalating terrorism, and new pressure from climate change for expanded civilian nuclear power that could increase proliferation risks.”

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