Archive for the ‘The Perfect Storm’ Category

when “Bar Harbor is underwater, then we can do global warming stories.”

Tuesday, October 31st, 2006

At 2 TV Stations in Maine, What Al Gore’s Movie Says Isn’t News

How important is global warming in Maine? Not important enough for local television.

Michael Palmer, the general manager of television stations WVII and WFVX, ABC and Fox affiliates in Bangor, has told his joint staff of nine men and women that when “Bar Harbor is underwater, then we can do global warming stories.”

“Until then,” he added. “No more.”

Mr. Palmer laid out his policy in an e-mail message sent out during the summer. A copy was sent to The New York Times. Mr. Palmer did not respond to a phone message left with an employee of the stations nor to an e-mail message. But a former staff member confirmed the e-mail message that went out during the summer after the stations broadcast a live report from a movie theater in Maine where Al Gore’s movie on global warming, “An Inconvenient Truth,” was opening.

More…

– this story is from the NY Times and they are a bit of a pain as you need to have a password and an ID to read their stuff. The good news is, it is free to get these and you only need to do it once.

Australia plans major solar plant

Wednesday, October 25th, 2006

Australia is to build one of the world’s biggest solar power plants as part of a major new strategy by the government to combat climate change. Canberra said it would be contributing A$75m (US$57m) to the A$420m plant due to be built in the state of Victoria.

The government also announced A$50m in funding towards a major project to reduce carbon emissions from coal.

Australia, a leading exporter in coal – has been criticised for failing to sign the Kyoto Protocol.

The government had argued that the 1997 agreement on greenhouse gas emissions would damage the domestic economy.But the country has been forced to confront the issue of climate change with a prolonged drought – the worst in a century – that is destroying the livelihoods of thousands of farmers.

National grid

On Monday, Prime Minister John Howard announced that the government would be investing A$500m (US$379m) in clean technology.

One of the first projects to get funding is what Finance Minister Peter Costello said aimed to be the “biggest photovoltaic project in the world”.

The plant at Victoria will use mirrored panels to concentrate the sun’s rays and produce power that can go into the national grid, he told Australian radio.

Work is due to get under way in 2008 and reach full capacity by 2013.

The government is also investing in a A$360m pilot project, based at an existing coal-fired power station also in Victoria, which is aimed at capturing and storing carbon emissions.

“This will make a major contribution to emission reduction in Australia and it just shows practical, considered, financially viable, workable technologies which can improve the emissions problem that will help us on our way to reduce global warming,” Mr Costello said.

Original story here…

Another video – definitely watch this one!

Monday, October 23rd, 2006

Unlike the Oil, Smoke and Mirrors video, I have no reservations about this one. Keith Olbermann is to be applauded for saying this stuff straight out on a major media outlet. This is about the Military Commissions Act of 2006 and if you are an American and you don’t know about it – you should.

I’ve included it in the Politics – how not to do it category for obvious reasons.

I’ve also included it in the Perfect Storm category because it is representative of the kind of tension that is going to build as things become more and more unstable.

Keith Olbermann’s commentary on the Military Commissions Act of 2006 is here:

Oil, Smoke and Mirrors – an on-line video

Monday, October 23rd, 2006

This video is interesting and well done but I have reservations about it. You’ll have to watch it to see what I mean. I’d love to know your thoughts on it.

http://www.oilsmokeandmirrors.com/

It tries to make a connection between Peak Oil and 911. The basic idea is that 911 was a put up job to give the US the excuse to wage war in Afghanistan and Iraq with the long term and largely hidden agenda of controlling sufficient oil to help the US avoid the coming consequences of Peak Oil.

I have a problem with most ‘conspiracy’ theories because, while they may sound entirely logical and plausible within their presentational context, once you look beyond what’s been said and consider the wider implications, things become a lot less plausible.

I always think of Roswell, New Mexico in this connection. The idea that hundreds of US military personnel have kept the secret since 1947 and never revealed a cover-up at Roswell is impossible to believe. And the idea that an alien spacecraft crashed there and hundreds if not thousands of pieces of debris were picked up and not one person pocketed a memento is also not reasonable.

So, here we have 911 and the idea that the government, because of a long-term goal to corner oil for the US, had to have a plausible reason to attack Afghanistan and Iraq and therefore decided to aid terrorists to strike the twin towers – it is all too fantastic. Think of all of the people who would have had greater or lesser amounts of insider knowledge of what was going on. Are all of them going to go to their graves as tight lipped patriots? I doubt that in any group of 100 people, you could be assured that all of them would make it through the next year on something like this without spilling the beans – much less five years.

Our government is just not that smart and just not that informationally waterproof. Remember bombing Cambodia, remember Watergate and remember Iran-Contra – those were big secrets and the way they came out was a bit like watching the Keystone Cops in action.

There was a section in this film where they said that the current tightening of laws, the ignoring of the Geneva Conventions and the abrogation of our personal rights (by mechanisms like the Military Commissions Act of 2006 – though they did not mention that act by name here), are part of a long term plan to have control mechanisms in place so that when the problems of Peak Oil begin to manifest and the inevitable social unrest ensues, they will already have the necessary structures in place to control an unruly population. Well, that sounds pretty frightening until you think that in a little over two years, the current administration and most of what it wrought (other than the justices it appointed), may well be history and dust. For this idea to hold together, you have to accept a conspiracy so wide that it encompasses the width and breadth of both parties. Nope – I don’t buy it.

I think it is all much more likely that our government *is* trying to gain control of oil for strategic reasons but that they are simply reacting to opportunities, like 911, as they’ve presented themselves. I also think that the Military Commissions Act of 2006 is very dangerous to our personal freedoms but that these things are borne of governmental hysteria and come and go as the pressures and the administrations come and go. That’s poor solace to those who might get imprisoned during such a period of hysteria, though.

If I had to pick out a more insidious danger, I’d say that it is the foisting off on the American public of voting machines full of proprietary software. If the governing party and its proxies gets control of the companies that make these machines, and if they move with sufficient stealth, they may win all the important elections from here on out.

Let me know your thoughts on all of this.

British wildlife head north as planet warms

Saturday, October 21st, 2006

LONDON (AFP) – Biologists in Britain have discerned a mass migration of fauna over the past 25 years as animals try to outrun global warming by heading for cooler climes in the north.

Studies by the University of York have shown that 80 percent of some 300 monitored species are on the move, abandoning areas they have inhabited for millennia and heading 70 to 100 kilometres (40 to 60 miles) north.

“Our sample is large enough to be sure about the pattern of change,” said Chris Thomas, professor of conservation biology at the university.

“Eighty percent is a surprisingly large percentage … It’s amazing how strong and already visible is the signature of climate change.”

Animals studied by the university included insects, mammals, vertebrates and invertebrates. Seventy percent of the species found to be on the move were heading to higher ground, up to 150 metres (495 feet) above their normal habitats.

Some scientists predict that average temperatures in Britain will increase by 3.5 degrees Celsius (38.3 degrees Fahrenheit) between now and 2080. Over the past century they have climbed just 0.6 degrees, but the 1990s was the hottest decade on records going back some 400 years.

“Average global temperatures in 2100 will probably be higher than for at least two, and quite probably 10 million or more years,” Shaw said.

More…

research credit to MD – thx

Apocalypse Now: How Mankind is Sleepwalking to the End of the Earth

Saturday, October 21st, 2006

– This is a particularly good article and I highly recommend reading it. Â It may be more that a year old but its information is, if anything, even more topical than ever.

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Floods, storms and droughts. Melting Arctic ice, shrinking glaciers, oceans turning to acid. The world’s top scientists warned last week that dangerous climate change is taking place today, not the day after tomorrow. You don’t believe it? Then, says Geoffrey Lean, read this…

(Originally published on February 6th, 2005)

Last week, 200 of the world’s leading climate scientists – meeting at Tony Blair’s request at the Met Office’s new headquarters at Exeter – issued the most urgent warning to date that dangerous climate change is taking place, and that time is running out.

Next week the Kyoto Protocol, the international treaty that tries to control global warming, comes into force after a seven-year delay. But it is clear that the protocol does not go nearly far enough.

The alarms have been going off since the beginning of one of the warmest Januaries on record. First, Dr Rajendra Pachauri – chairman of the official Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – told a UN conference in Mauritius that the pollution which causes global warming has reached “dangerous” levels.

Then the biggest-ever study of climate change, based at Oxford University, reported that it could prove to be twice as catastrophic as the IPCC’s worst predictions. And an international task force – also reporting to Tony Blair, and co-chaired by his close ally, Stephen Byers – concluded that we could reach “the point of no return” in a decade.

Finally, the UK head of Shell, Lord Oxburgh, took time out – just before his company reported record profits mainly achieved by selling oil, one of the main causes of the problem – to warn that unless governments take urgent action there “will be a disaster”.

More…

research credit to MD – thx

Can “Tipping Points” Accelerate Global Warming?

Saturday, October 21st, 2006

OSLO – Rising temperatures trigger a runaway melt of Greenland’s ice sheet, raising sea levels and drowning Pacific islands and cities from New York to Tokyo.

In Siberia, the permafrost thaws, releasing vast frozen stores of greenhouse gases that send temperatures even higher. In the tropics, the Amazon rainforest starts to die off because of a warmer, drier climate.

Such scenarios may read like the script of a Hollywood disaster movie but many scientists say there are real risks of “tipping points” — sudden, catastrophic changes triggered by human activities blamed for warming the planet.

“Even small risks in the climate need to be considered, just as we try to avert accidents at nuclear power plants,” said Stefan Rahmstorf, a professor at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and an expert in ocean currents.

“I don’t think this is scaremongering. We don’t really understand the system,” he said of risks that the warm Gulf Stream current in the North Atlantic might shut down in one possible “tipping point” scenario.

Melting ice in Greenland could send a sudden flow of cool water into the North Atlantic, disrupting the giant current that pulls warm water northwards to create the Gulf Stream.

This might shut down the warm current and could also make parts of Europe and North America sharply colder, despite an overall warming of the climate.

More…

research credit to MD – thx

Expect a climatic ‘wild ride,’ study says

Saturday, October 21st, 2006

WASHINGTON (AP) — The world — especially the Western United States, the Mediterranean region and Brazil — will likely suffer more extended droughts, heavy rainfalls and longer heat waves over the next century because of global warming, a new study forecasts.

But the prediction of a future of nasty extreme weather also includes fewer freezes and a longer growing season.

In a preview of a major international report on climate change that comes out next year, a study out of the National Center for Atmospheric Research details what nine of the world’s top computer models predict for the lurching of climate at its most extreme.

“It’s going to be a wild ride, especially for specific regions,” said study lead author Claudia Tebaldi, a scientist at the federally funded academic research center.

Tebaldi pointed to the Western U.S., Mediterranean nations and Brazil as “hot spots” that will get extremes at their worst, according to the computer models.

And some places, such as the Pacific Northwest, are predicted to get a strange double whammy of longer dry spells punctuated by heavier rainfall.

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Gravity Measurements Confirm Greenland’s Glaciers Precipitous Meltdown

Friday, October 20th, 2006

– The scary part of this article is towards the end. And I quote:

This study and other GRACE studies published by [others] all agree that there is significant mass wastage of Greenland into the ocean,” notes glaciologist Eric Rignot of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory. “None of this has been predicted by numerical models, and therefore all projections of the contribution of Greenland to sea level [rise] are way below reality.“‘

– To get an idea of why this is scary, read about the Thermohaline Circulation here and especially here.  This is definitely an evolving piece of the Perfect Storm.
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Of late, the enormous glaciers that flow down to the sea from the interior of Greenland have been picking up speed. In the last few years, enough ice has come off the northern landmass to sustain the average flow of the Colorado River for six years or fill Lake Mead three times over or cover the state of Maryland in 10 feet of water, assuming it were perfectly flat. And whether it is the glaciers’ weight, speed or volume that is measured, a quickening of the their movement can be detected. In fact, the latest gravity-based measurements show that the glaciers lost roughly 101 gigatons of ice annually between 2003 and 2005, according to a paper published online in Science.

More…

Climate water threat to millions

Friday, October 20th, 2006

-I’ve written about the coming water problems here.

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Climate change threatens supplies of water for millions of people in poorer countries, warns a new report from the Christian development agency Tearfund.

Recent research suggests that by 2050, five times as much land is likely to be under “extreme” drought as now.

Tearfund wants richer states to look at helping poorer ones adjust to drought at next month’s UN climate summit.

This week the UK’s climate minister said he is confident of reaching an deal on adaptation funds at the talks.

There is an “urgent need” for such measures, Ian Pearson told a parliamentary committee.

The Tearfund report, Feeling the Heat, urges donors to ramp up assistance quickly. Other charities are likely to make similar pleas in the run-up to the Nairobi summit, which begins on 6 November.

Citing research by the Oxford academic Norman Myers, Tearfund suggests there will be as many as 200 million climate refugees by 2050.

More…