Archive for the ‘The Perfect Storm’ Category

Human Flu Transfers May Exceed Reports

Sunday, June 4th, 2006

One piece in the ‘Perfect Storm’ puzzle currently assembling itself is the Pandemic Piece. As human populations become denser, the probability that an extremely virulent bug will decimate us grows. Normally, bugs with such virulence kill their hosts before they can propagate to their next host and, in effect, their own virulence limits their ability to spread. But, as our populations grow denser, the probability also grows that such bugs will be able to spread from host to host quickly enough to survive.

In the wake of a cluster of avian flu cases that killed seven members of a rural Indonesian family, it appears likely that there have been many more human-to-human infections than the authorities have previously acknowledged.

The numbers are still relatively small, and they do not mean that the virus has mutated to pass easily between people a change that could touch off a worldwide epidemic. All the clusters of cases have been among relatives or in nurses who were in long, close contact with patients.

Full article:

An Inconvient Truth – Movie Review

Saturday, June 3rd, 2006

The part of the review, below, that I’ve highlighted is, to me, the strangest part of all of this; that so much hard science exists and people still don’t know due to obfuscation from the oil and coal industries.  Ross Gelbspan called this a ‘Crime against humanity’ in his book, Boiling Point.  I agree.

The environment has not resonated much with voters or politicians in the past, though the increasing popularity of hybrid cars and eco-friendly products and services might indicate a shift in attitudes. That something so important could be largely ignored for so long is almost inconceivable, and among the things the film does well is an analysis as to why that is. A 2004 Science magazine survey of more than 900 peer-reviewed academic papers on the subject of global warming found that all supported the reality while none contested it. However, a like sampling of mainstream media found that 53% of the stories portrayed global warming as something that was in doubt in the scientific community. The mixed message has kept the automobile and oil industries in the driver’s seat and the issue out of political debates.

Full review from the Los Angeles Times:

Portrait of a Perfect Economic Storm

Friday, June 2nd, 2006

Climate change, financial meltdown, and peak oil will devastate those segments of the economy dependent on oil subsidies and stable global supply lines.  These are no longer future issues.  A dramatic restructuring of the way we live, including a return to local food and energy self-reliance, has become an imperative.

More 

Will they speak in anger and frustration of the time of the Great Unraveling, when profligate consumption exceeded Earth’s capacity to sustain and led to an accelerating wave of collapsing environmental systems, violent competition for what remained of the planet’s resources, and a dramatic dieback of the human population? Or will they look back in joyful celebration on the time of the Great Turning, when their forebears embraced the higher-order potential of their human nature, turned crisis into opportunity, and learned to live in creative partnership with one another and Earth?

More  

Book – Americans and Climate Change

Wednesday, May 31st, 2006

From the opening of this book’s Executive Summary:

Why has the robust and compelling body of climate change science not had greater impact on action, especially in the United States?

From a policy-making level down to personal voting and purchasing decisions, our actions have not been commensurate with the threat as characterized by mainstream science.

This book, published by the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, is a concise and detailed exploration of why there is such a disjoint between what the science tells us about climate change and what Americans think about it and are doing about it.

The full Executive Summary can be found here:

The best news is that this book is available for free download as a PDF file:

If you are frustrated with America’s response to impending climate change, read this book. Understanding clearly why things are the way they are is a necessary first step towards changing them.

Bear Hunting Caught in Global Warming Debate

Saturday, May 27th, 2006

RESOLUTE, Nunavut — Bob Hudson says he has played in the Rose Bowl, jumped out of airplanes, scuba dived off Fiji and stalked bighorn sheep in the Rockies. But for all the excitement of his 67 years, there was one thrill he still craved: hunting polar bear in the high Canadian Arctic…

This story illustrates a point I’ve often made:

that in our efforts to achieve a steady-state balance with the biosphere, there are some cultural practices that we are going to have to dispense with regardless of our cherished ideal that all cultures are worthy and should be equally preserved.

By the way, this story (which you can get to by clicking the arrow) is in the NY Times.  They will stop you with a password query but you can get by it by simply filling out their sign-up for once – no money involved

 

Vanity Fair does Global Warming

Wednesday, May 17th, 2006

The May 2006 Vanity Fair Magazine has a great article on Global warming.

First Light

Sunday, May 7th, 2006

When astronomers use a new telescope for the first time, they call the event “First Light”. This then is “First Light “for this blog. With luck, it will run for many years.

Please be patient if you are an early reader. I expect it to be uneven and sparse for a few weeks as I get the various areas up and populated.

This blog will have a central theme and the following text gives a good sense of what that theme will be:

—- begin description —-

We will focus on a gathering storm of problems confronting mankind and the planet’s other biological inhabitants. The thread common to all of these problems is humanity itself. Mankind’s evolution of higher intelligence has freed it from the checks and balances which have tended to preserve order in the natural world since biological evolution first began on Earth.

Each of the subjects discussed in this column illustrates the fact that while humanity has developed higher intelligence, it has not developed the commensurate level of wisdom to balance it.

These are stories of the overuse of natural resources without consideration of what we’re going to do when they run out.

These are stories of humanity’s destructive impact on the integrity of the physical and biological systems around us in the world – systems upon which we are deeply dependent.

These are stories of how humanity’s greed and shortsightedness, both individual and collective, repeatedly lead to severe inbalances in the distribution of essentials like food, water, shelter, education and information. And these imbalances, in turn, lead to problems like overpopulation and fundamentalism.

And, finally, it is a meta-story about how the problems mankind is causing are potentiating and empowering each other to create a ‘perfect storm’ of consequences. Consequences which are going to fundamentally alter the physical and biological systems of the planet and degrading the kind of environment we will be leaving to our children for hundreds, if not thousands, of generations.

The following are some of the subjects which we will consider:

Peak Oil, Global Warming, Falling Water Tables, Rising Ocean Levels, Biodiversity Loss, Over Population, Failing Fisheries, Pollution, Rich vs. Poor Gap, Fundamentalism, Globalism, Post-Modernism, Women’s Literacy, Food Shortages, Fresh Water Shortages, Terrorism, Pandemics, Desertification, Corporate Power, Bubble Economics, The Gulf Stream Conveyor, and the Marginalization of Science.

This is an incomplete list and other subjects will be added.

—- End description —-

In addition to the general theme of impending disasters, as described above, we will wander into a number of other areas which are of interest to me (and hopefully to you). These will include poetry, philosophy, books, spiritualism, science and history among others.

Stay tuned.