Archive for the ‘The Perfect Storm’ Category

Desert is claiming southeast Spain

Wednesday, June 4th, 2008

Lush fields of lettuce and hothouses of tomatoes line the roads. Verdant new developments of plush pastel vacation homes beckon buyers from Britain and Germany. Golf courses – 54 of them, all built in the past decade and most in the past three years – give way to the beach. At last, this hardscrabble corner of southeast Spain is thriving.

There is only one problem with this picture of bounty: This province, Murcia, is running out of water. Spurred on by global warming and poorly planned development, swaths of southeast Spain are steadily turning into desert.

This year in Murcia farmers are fighting developers over water rights. They are fighting each other over who gets to water their crops. And in a sign of their mounting desperation, they are buying and selling water like gold on a burgeoning black market.

“Water will be the environmental issue this year,” said Barbara Helferrich, spokeswoman for the European Union’s Environment Directorate. “The problem is urgent and immediate.”

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Sarkozy calls for immigrant crackdown

Sunday, June 1st, 2008

Plans for a Europe-wide clampdown on immigration that could see asylum-seekers forced to apply for refugee status in advance and more effective deportation measures, are to be at the heart of France’s European Union presidency.

Nicolas Sarkozy, French president, is proposing a co-ordinated crackdown on illegal immigration in government documents, seen by the Financial Times, which have been drawn up in preparation for France’s EU presidency, which starts in July.

The document – a so-called “pact on immigration” – also calls for swift implementation of biometric visas and compulsory language lessons for all new arrivals. It acknowledges that the EU needs migrants for demographic and economic reasons but it adds: “Europe does not have the means to welcome with dignity all those who see an Eldorado in it.”

It calls for EU member states to establish compulsory “integration contracts” for newcomers. They would have to learn the language of the country they were living in as well as “national and European values” such as gender equality and tolerance.

Mr Sarkozy’s proposals include a fresh drive to return unlawful entrants to their home countries. The unpublished pact emerged as Mr Sarkozy announced in Warsaw that France would lift labour market restrictions on central and eastern Europeans whose countries joined the EU in 2004.

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Vast cracks appear in Arctic ice

Sunday, June 1st, 2008

Dramatic evidence of the break-up of the Arctic ice-cap has emerged from research during an expedition by the Canadian military.

Scientists travelling with the troops found major new fractures during an assessment of the state of giant ice shelves in Canada’s far north.

The team found a network of cracks that stretched for more than 10 miles (16km) on Ward Hunt, the area’s largest shelf.

The fate of the vast ice blocks is seen as a key indicator of climate change.

One of the expedition’s scientists, Derek Mueller of Trent University, Ontario, told me: “I was astonished to see these new cracks.

“It means the ice shelf is disintegrating, the pieces are pinned together like a jigsaw but could float away,” Dr Mueller explained.

According to another scientist on the expedition, Dr Luke Copland of the University of Ottawa, the new cracks fit into a pattern of change in the Arctic.

“We’re seeing very dramatic changes; from the retreat of the glaciers, to the melting of the sea ice.

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Methane Release Could Cause Abrupt, Far-Reaching Climate Change

Sunday, June 1st, 2008

An abrupt release of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, from ice sheets that extended to Earth’s low latitudes some 635 million years ago caused a dramatic shift in climate, scientists funded by the National Science Foundation (NSF) report in this week’s issue of the journal Nature.

The shift triggered events that resulted in global warming and an ending of the last “snowball” ice age.

The researchers believe that the methane was released gradually at first and then very quickly from clathrates–methane ice that forms and stabilizes beneath ice sheets.

When the ice sheets became unstable, they collapsed, releasing pressure on the clathrates. The clathrates then began to de-gas.

“Our findings document an abrupt and catastrophic global warming that led from a very cold, seemingly stable climate state to a very warm, also stable, climate state–with no pause in between,” said geologist Martin Kennedy of the University of California at Riverside (UCR), who led the research team.

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Australia’s Long Drought Withering Wheat, Rice Supplies

Sunday, June 1st, 2008

Part two of a special series that explores the local faces of the world’s worst food crisis in decades.

Les Gordon is no stranger to Australia’s harsh climate. A rice grower from the country’s breadbasket region, some 512 miles (820 kilometers) southwest of Sydney, Gordon has spent almost half his three decades of farming battling drought.

But the most recent dry spell threatens to end his rice-growing days altogether.

“This is the first time we haven’t had any rice since my grandfather planted his first crop in 1949,” he said. “This is the worst drought in a long time.”

In Australia, the world’s driest inhabited continent, drought punctuates the climate record with disheartening regularity.

There’s not been a decade since official records began that hasn’t seen severe rain shortage. Down here drought is just a part of life.

But the onset of two record-breaking droughts in the past seven years—one of them widely considered “the worst drought in a thousand years”—has had far-reaching and crippling effects.

Major river systems are drying up. The Murray-Darling River Basin—home to 40 percent of Australia’s agricultural industry—is at record low levels.

The dearth of water has ravaged Australian agriculture, from wheat to dairy, meat to wine. Some industries will take years to recover.

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Nuclear power popular again as energy prices soar

Thursday, May 29th, 2008

Slammed by the surging cost of energy imported from volatile regions and befuddled about how to meet their pledges for tackling global warming, European countries are reviving nuclear’s role in their energy strategies.

Pro-nuclear countries are pushing ahead with plans for next-generation reactors, encountering so far either minimal opposition or even acquiescence. In some anti-nuclear countries, decisions to phase out power are being reversed or are under threat.

“We need nuclear energy as part of the energy mix,” the President of the European Parliament, Hans-Gert Poettering, said this week before a ceremony to honour environmentally friendly projects.

Such an endorsement would have been unthinkable two or three years ago. European memories were still seared by the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, when a stricken Soviet nuclear plant spewed fallout over the continent.

But in January this year, the British Government gave the go-ahead to replace 14 nuclear plants that date from the 1970s. France, which gets 78 per cent of its electricity needs from nuclear, has started work on a new-generation European Pressurised Reactor (EPR), a model that is also being built in Finland by the French firm Areva and Germany’s Siemens.

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Under Fire, White House Releases Report About Global Warming

Thursday, May 29th, 2008

Overdue Report Reveals Serious Health Consequences

Today, the White House finally released an overdue report on the comprehensive impact of global warming on the United States. It is the first such report from the Bush administration since it took office more than seven years ago.

Starting to catch up with the understanding long agreed on by the world’s climate scientists, the report says, “It is likely that there has been a substantial human contribution to surface temperature increases in North America.”

With recent U.S. wildfires, downpours, drought and smog, the report paints a sobering picture of threats to America’s food, water and energy supplies — stressed in an ever hotter country.

Integrating federal research efforts of many agencies and literally thousands of scientists, it reports that the global climate disruption now under way is already damaging U.S. water resources, agriculture and wildlife and is expected to keep doing so — often worsening — for “the next few decades and beyond.”

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– Research credit to John P. 

G-8 meet ends with call to halve warming gases

Wednesday, May 28th, 2008

– Oh good. Another meeting to talk about maybe doing something.

– Let’s have a lot of people come and we’ll spend a lot of money and we’ll publish a very important paper at the end stating the ‘sense’ of the meeting and listing all the things that should be done – if anyone was actually thinking of doing anything – before the next meeting.

– Sorry, I just couldn’t resist adding the red highlights myself to show just how pompous and toothless this meeting and its ‘statement ‘ were.

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KOBE–The Group of Eight Environment Ministers Meeting closed here Monday with a chairman’s summary statement from Environment Minister Ichiro Kamoshita urging developed countries to agree to halve global greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 at the G-8 summit in Hokkaido in July.

“It was noted that in order to halve global greenhouse gas emissions [by 2050], developed countries should take the lead in achieving a significant reduction,” Kamoshita said, reading aloud the statement during the closing ceremony.

The summary was made with the agreement of environment ministers of the G-8 nations and 10 other nations–including major emitters China and India–which held intensive and extensive discussions with the officials of international organizations such as the Global Environment Facility, World Bank and the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change as well as representatives from nongovernmental organizations.

Kamoshita also said in the statement, “A strong political will was expressed to go beyond the agreement [made in the 2007 Heiligendamm Summit, where G-8 leaders agreed to seriously consider reducing the emissions by at least half by 2050].”

Although many developing countries and NGOs demanded that G-8 countries set midterm goals for reducing the emissions, they simply said in the statement that they recognized the need to set effective targets, taking into account the report released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that urged the developed nations to reduce the emissions 25 to 40 percent by 2020.

The summary mentioned that for global greenhouse gas emissions to peak and then decrease within the next 10-20 years, developed countries must commit to quantified national emission targets.

Kamoshita also said in the statement that a bottom-up calculation for the amount of emissions that can be reduced by different economic and other sectors in a country was recognized as a useful tool to set national reduction targets, adding that developed countries should give developing countries assistance if they try to use the method.

The statement also said that appropriate technologies and funding from the international community are essential to promoting conservation and the sustainable use of biodiversity in developing countries.

The Kobe Initiative proposed by Kamoshita in the environment ministers meeting, which involves establishing an international research network, was also included in the summary statement.

– follow this link to your very own copy of this toothless wonder:

Energy Watchdog Warns of Oil-Production Crunch

Wednesday, May 28th, 2008

– I’m seeing folks arguing both sides of the current oil price crisis.  Some say it is sheer speculation and some say it is actual shortages being reflected in the prices.   And some, of course, say it is some of both.

– These folks are warning that  we may not have as much oil as we think.

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IEA Official Says Supplies may Plateau Below Expected Demand

The world’s premier energy monitor is preparing a sharp downward revision of its oil-supply forecast, a shift that reflects deepening pessimism over whether oil companies can keep abreast of booming demand.

The Paris-based International Energy Agency is in the middle of its first attempt to comprehensively assess the condition of the world’s top 400 oil fields. Its findings won’t be released until November, but the bottom line is already clear: Future crude supplies could be far tighter than previously thought.

A pessimistic supply outlook from the IEA could further rattle an oil market that already has seen crude prices rocket over $130 a barrel, double what they were a year ago. U.S. benchmark crude broke a record for the fourth day in a row, rising 3.3% Wednesday to close at $133.17 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

For several years, the IEA has predicted that supplies of crude and other liquid fuels will arc gently upward to keep pace with rising demand, topping 116 million barrels a day by 2030, up from around 87 million barrels a day currently. Now, the agency is worried that aging oil fields and diminished investment mean that companies could struggle to surpass 100 million barrels a day over the next two decades.

The decision to rigorously survey supply — instead of just demand, as in the past — reflects an increasing fear within the agency and elsewhere that oil-producing regions aren’t on track to meet future needs.

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Italy signals turnaround on nuclear power

Wednesday, May 28th, 2008

Italy’s newly elected government said Thursday that within five years it planned to resume building nuclear plants, a type of energy that the country dropped 20 years ago after a referendum resoundingly condemned nuclear power.

“By the end of this legislature we will put down the foundation stone for the construction in our country of a group of new generation nuclear plants,” said Claudio Scajola, Minister of Economic Development. “An action plan to go back to nuclear power cannot be delayed anymore.”

The sea change for Italy is a sign of the times, reflecting growing concern in many European countries over the skyrocketing price of oil, energy security, and the warming effects of carbon emissions from fossil fuels. All have combined to make this once-scorned form of energy far more palatable.

“Italy has had the most dramatic, the most public turnaround, but the sentiments against nuclear are reversing very quickly all across Europe – Holland, Belgium, Sweden, Germany and more,” said Ian Hore-Lacey, spokesman for the World Nuclear Association, an industry group based in London.

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